Jun 10, 2023; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Milwaukee Brewers catcher Victor Caratini (7) reacts after striking out in the fifth inning against the Oakland Athletics at American Family Field. Mandatory Credit: Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports
Sports betting is all about trying to find an edge, which is often easier said than done.
Well, when it comes to wagering on Major League Baseball, there’s one bet that I’ve been following all season long that has been extremely profitable for me, so allow me to share it with you.
Bet against the Milwaukee Brewers when they face a left-handed starting pitcher.
Yes, that’s it. It’s really that easy.
The Brewers have been absolutely terrible against left-handed pitching this season. Their OPS against lefties is .634, the worst mark in the Majors by 0.022, while sporting a batting average of .211 against them, which is also the worst mark in Major League Baseball.
The Brewers also have the highest strikeout rate against lefties in MLB, striking out on 29% of their plate appearances, which is 1.9% higher than the next worst team in that area.
No matter what way you look at it, the Brewers have been terrible against lefties all season.
Fade the Brewers against left-handed pitchingSo, if the Brewers are facing a left-handed starter, but against them without hesitation.
If you’re reading this article on the day that I’m writing it, Sunday, June 11, then I have good news for you. The Brewers are facing a lefty starter in JP Sears of the Oakland Athletics. So, not only are you going to be able to fade Milwaukee, but you can do it at a sizable underdog price.
Sure, there are more things that have to be taken into consideration when handicapping baseball. It’s not as easy as just betting against them when they’re facing a type of pitcher they generally struggle against, but the Brewers numbers against lefties have been so bad for the entire season, that at this point it’s becoming a must-bet situation.
Let’s ride this trend for as long as it lasts.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.